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volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 21 Oct 2023, 17:16
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 21, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.137) with 25,807 cases, North Dakota (0.084) with 295,716 cases, New York (0.078) with 7,212,972 cases, Wisconsin (0.036) with 2,043,838 cases, and Delaware (0.030) with 338,958 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 458 of the last 486 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 120 of the last 139 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 336 of the last 381 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 10 of the last 10 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 115 of the last 131 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00240 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00354. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising again the last several weeks. There have been 406 of last 628 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 22 Oct 2023, 14:35
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 22, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.137) with 25,807 cases, North Dakota (0.083) with 295,716 cases, New York (0.081) with 7,214,660 cases, Wisconsin (0.037) with 2,043,838 cases, and Delaware (0.030) with 338,958 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 459 of the last 487 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 121 of the last 140 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 337 of the last 382 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 11 of the last 11 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 116 of the last 132 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00208 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00240. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising again the last several weeks. There have been 406 of last 629 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 23 Oct 2023, 14:59
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 23, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.137) with 25,807 cases, North Dakota (0.083) with 295,716 cases, New York (0.080) with 7,215,989 cases, Wisconsin (0.038) with 2,043,838 cases, and Delaware (0.030) with 338,958 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 460 of the last 488 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 122 of the last 141 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 338 of the last 383 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 12 of the last 12 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 117 of the last 133 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00252 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00208. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 54 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising again the last several weeks. There have been 407 of last 630 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 15 Jul 2023, 13:31
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.


To give some context to these changes, I have calculated the average growth rate for each week back to April. The growth rate is calculated as the number of new cases each day divided by the number of active cases for the previous day. There is a typical weekly pattern of rising cases each week and falling case numbers on the weekends. I have calculated the 7 day average of the growth rate for Saturday to Friday of each week.

Using the 7 day growth rate, a calculation can be made of the number of days for the new cases to double. This calculation uses (1+Growth Rate) to the exponential of 1/X and solved for when this equation equals 2 (doubling of new cases). Variable X is the number of days to double the new cases count. I have made this calculation using 14 day and 21 day growth rate averages as well.

A graph using the average for 7, 14, and 21 days and showing the days to double new case counts for April to middle of November is below. Another graph shows the 7 day average new virus cases counts for the same period.

Inspection of the graphs show that when the line for days to double becomes flat, there may soon be a decline or increase to the count of new cases. This has happened three times since April. When the slope of the line for doubling is steep, either going up or down, there is unlikely to be a change soon in the growth or decline in new cases.

The current lines for case doubling now shows some indication of going flat soon. I expect we will see the number of new virus cases continue to increase, but we may have a change of direction starting. Perhaps the changing recommendations for controlling the virus are beginning to have an impact.

There was an error in my original logic posted on November 14. During the upward slope periods of the Days to Double graph, the actual number of daily cases are declining. I reconsidered how to resolve this contradiction in logic.

I have added a new graph with a calculation of the slope of the new case numbers (current case count minus past case count divided by the number of days). The slope of a curve is the rate of change of the plotted line. If we were plotting velocity, the slope would be the acceleration. The slope is a better representation of the virus growth because the slope goes negative when the trend in cases starts going down.

volvolugnut
I have updated the graphs for the last several months (Since July 8, 2023).

The New Case Slope graph has dropped sightly for the past several weeks and continues in negative range. The Days to Double for the 14 day, and 21 day Days to Double were up for the past several weeks. New Case Count average decreased for the past several weeks. Growth Rate Average has decreased for several weeks.

There appears to be a change in the past several weeks. The new wave In September appears to have abated. We can only watch and see what develops.

Many Districts and states have not reported in the last thirty days or more. With fewer states reporting, overall trends may not reflect the true conditions.

Stay safe out there. Don't get careless and keep up your defenses. Actions to avoid Covid-19 also reduces other viral diseases.


volvolugnut
Attachments
New Case Count 102123.png
New Case Count 102123.png (50.49 KiB) Viewed 120 times
Days to Double 102123.png
Days to Double 102123.png (72.12 KiB) Viewed 120 times
New Case Slope 102123.png
New Case Slope 102123.png (50.6 KiB) Viewed 120 times
Growth Rate Average 102123.png
Growth Rate Average 102123.png (56.91 KiB) Viewed 120 times
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 24 Oct 2023, 08:11
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 24, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.137) with 25,807 cases, North Dakota (0.083) with 295,716 cases, New York (0.078) with 7,216,960 cases, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,043,838 cases, and Delaware (0.030) with 338,958 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 461 of the last 489 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 123 of the last 142 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 339 of the last 384 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 13 of the last 13 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 118 of the last 134 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00367 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00252. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 52 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 408 of last 631 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 25 Oct 2023, 07:33
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 25, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.179) with 25,829 cases, North Dakota (0.083) with 295,716 cases, New York (0.077) with 7,217,860 cases, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,043,838 cases, and Maine (0.036) with 329,971 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 462 of the last 490 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 124 of the last 143 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 340 of the last 385 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 14 of the last 14 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 42 of the last 65 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00482 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00367. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 47 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 408 of last 632 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 26 Oct 2023, 08:02
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 26, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.179) with 25,829 cases, North Dakota (0.083) with 295,716 cases, New York (0.079) with 7,219,767 cases, Wisconsin (0.041) with 2,043,838 cases, and Delaware (0.035) with 339,298 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 463 of the last 491 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 125 of the last 144 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 341 of the last 386 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 15 of the last 15 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 119 of the last 136 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00402 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00482. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 52 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 409 of last 633 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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State Growth 102623 B.png
State Growth 102623 B.png (76.11 KiB) Viewed 108 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 27 Oct 2023, 11:24
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 27, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.179) with 25,829 cases, North Dakota (0.106) with 296,191 cases, New York (0.081) with 7,221,496 cases, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,043,838 cases, and Delaware (0.035) with 339,298 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 464 of the last 492 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 126 of the last 145 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 342 of the last 387 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 16 of the last 16 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 120 of the last 137 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00366 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00402. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 54 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 410 of last 634 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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The Fleet:
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
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volvolugnut
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 28 Oct 2023, 08:17
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 28, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.179) with 25,829 cases, North Dakota (0.106) with 296,191 cases, New York (0.080) with 7,223,282 cases, Wisconsin (0.039) with 2,043,838 cases, and Maine (0.028) with 329,971 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 465 of the last 493 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 127 of the last 146 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 343 of the last 388 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 17 of the last 17 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 43 of the last 68 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00253 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00366. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 411 of last 635 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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volvolugnut
Posts: 6233
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 29 Oct 2023, 07:34
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
August 30, 2023 the calculated growth rate for all United States was 0.0105. This is the highest growth rate since February 22, 2023, when it was 0.0108. The number of new Covid-19 cases are rising again, but the increase is still fairly low.

The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for October 29, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.179) with 25,829 cases, North Dakota (0.106) with 296,191 cases, New York (0.079) with 7,224,807 cases, Wisconsin (0.038) with 2,043,838 cases, and Maine (0.028) with 329,971 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 466 of the last 494 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 128 of the last 147 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 344 of the last 389 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 18 of the last 18 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 44 of the last 69 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00200 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00253. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 412 of last 636 days with decreasing active case numbers.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. Since October 8, 2023, reported active cases have been below 1,000,000 each day.

There have now been 109 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 102923 A.png
State Growth 102923 A.png (79.97 KiB) Viewed 98 times
State Growth 102923 B.png
State Growth 102923 B.png (75.73 KiB) Viewed 98 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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