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Coronavirus Thread

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volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Wed May 20, 2020 7:34 am More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 20, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Montana (0.389) with 478 cases, North Dakota (0.149) with 2095 cases, Minnesota (0.135) with 17,670 cases, Maine (0.134) with 1819 cases, and West Virginia (0.107) with 1567 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

Worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... rus-cases/ has started to add state curve information to their website.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Montana, Hawaii, and West Virginia were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). South Dakota, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, Maine, and Georgia were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0192 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0184. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Thu May 21, 2020 5:38 pm More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 21, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Guam (0.611) with 165 cases, Arkansas (0.436) with 5458 cases, Louisiana (0.184) with 36,504 cases, North Dakota (0.180) with 2229 cases, and Oklahoma (0.153) with 5680 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

Worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... rus-cases/ has started to add state curve information to their website.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam, Arkansas, Louisiana, Hawaii, and Vermont were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Alabama, District of Columbia, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Oklahoma, North Dakota, and Texas were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0250 for yesterday, up sharply from previous day of 0.0192. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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State Growth 052120 A.JPG
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State Growth 052120 B.JPG (213.4 KiB) Viewed 453 times
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Fri May 22, 2020 10:23 am More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 22, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.184) with 1705 cases, Oklahoma (0.167) with 5849 cases, Minnesota (0.164) with 19,005 cases, North Dakota (0.105) with 2317 cases, and Arkansas (0.103) with 5612 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

Worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... rus-cases/ has started to add state curve information to their website.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Only West Virginia was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma, South Dakota, and Navajo Nation were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

For yesterday, 46 states were equal or less than 0.10 growth rate (new cases double in a week). There were 36 states equal or less than 0.050 growth rate (new cases double in two weeks). The number of states to meet this criteria were less than May 18. This was single day information and not a moving average.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0212 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0250. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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State Growth 052220 A.JPG
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Sat May 23, 2020 8:51 am More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 23, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.154) with 19,845 cases, Nevada (0.149) with 7696 cases, Arkansas (0.111) with 5775 cases, Oklahoma (0.110) with 5960 cases, and South Dakota (0.108) with 4468 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

Worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... rus-cases/ has started to add state curve information to their website.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Only Alaska was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Alabama, and Nevada were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

For yesterday, 48 states were equal or less than 0.10 growth rate (new cases double in a week). There were 38 states equal or less than 0.050 growth rate (new cases double in two weeks). This was single day information and not a moving average.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0192 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0212. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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State Growth 052320 A.JPG
State Growth 052320 A.JPG (245.73 KiB) Viewed 429 times
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State Growth 052320 B.JPG (210.42 KiB) Viewed 429 times
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Sun May 24, 2020 8:19 am More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 24, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.132) with 20,573 cases, Wyoming (0.100) with 838 cases, Arkansas (0.094) with 5922 cases, South Dakota (0.088) with 4563 cases, and West Virginia (0.077) with 1771 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No states were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Missouri, Wyoming, and Navajo Nation were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0175 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0192. This is not population or case number weighted. This is the lowest US growth rate in several weeks. It may be a 'weekend effect'.

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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

It may seem I am the only one posting here. However, I know from the number of views on the screen shots, there are others checking the daily posts. As long as others check these posts, I will keep putting them up.

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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Mon May 25, 2020 7:42 am More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 25, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.133) with 21,315 cases, Vermont (0.095) with 962 cases, Alabama (0.085) with 14,986 cases, Louisiana (0.078) with 37,809 cases, and Tennessee (0.065) with 20,607 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

Minnesota has been in top 5 for 41 of 47 days since April 9, 2020.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No states were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Only Vermont was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0174 for yesterday, down slightly from previous day of 0.0175. This is not population or case number weighted. This is the lowest US growth rate in several weeks. At this growth rate, it will be 40 days to double new cases in the US. I hope this is a new trend.

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State Growth 052520 A.JPG
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 8:28 am More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 26, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.120) with 1854 cases, Minnesota (0.115) with 21,960 cases, Alabama (0.103) with 15,630 cases, Arkansas (0.091) with 6180 cases, and Mississippi (0.080) with 13,731 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam, Idaho, Kentucky, and US Military were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Only Veterans Affairs was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0167 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0174. This is not population or case number weighted. This is the lowest US growth rate in several weeks.

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State Growth 052620 A.JPG
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State Growth 052620 B.JPG (215.73 KiB) Viewed 108 times
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 12:05 pm More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 27, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Guam (0.130) with 170 cases, Wisconsin (0.101) with 16,462 cases, Montana (0.095) with 481 cases, Oklahoma (0.093) with 6229 cases, and Minnesota (0.091) with 22,464 cases. All states have reopened to various levels.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam, Hawaii, Idaho, and Montana were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, Oregon, Texas, US Military, and Navajo Nation were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise. The last few days have shown more states over 1.5 and 2.0. I have excluded Federal Prisons because there was some adjustment in the data which made the growth rate unreasonable.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0179 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0167. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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State Growth 052720 A.JPG
State Growth 052720 A.JPG (241.81 KiB) Viewed 90 times
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State Growth 052720 B.JPG (212.1 KiB) Viewed 90 times
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by j-dawg »

volvolugnut wrote: Mon May 25, 2020 7:46 am It may seem I am the only one posting here. However, I know from the number of views on the screen shots, there are others checking the daily posts. As long as others check these posts, I will keep putting them up.

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