State growth rates for November 20, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.volvolugnut wrote: ↑20 Nov 2022, 11:31
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.
These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.
Again, results change daily.
For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: Montana (0.231) with 317,135 cases, West Virginia (0.220) with 612,262 cases, Guam (0.179) with 59,039 cases, New York (0.095) with 6,511,543 cases, and Arkansas (0.078) with 965,475 cases. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 231 of the last 335 days. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 349 of the last 440 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 28 of the last 28 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 27 of the last 46 days. Arkansas has been in the top 5 states for 6 of the last 8 days.
Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.
A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.
My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00376 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00460. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 54 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.
Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.
Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 187 of last 293 days with decreasing active case numbers.
There have now been 100 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.
With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.