Login Register

Coronavirus Thread

History, science(!), computers, sports, movies, careers, art, music...
Forum rules
Disallowed: religion, race, politics, war and disrespect toward others.
Allowed: history, science(!), computers, sports, movies, careers, art, music, relationships and the ten million other topics in our lives.
Post Reply
User avatar
abscate
MVS Moderator
Posts: 35272
Joined: 17 February 2013
Year and Model: 99: V70s S70s,05 V70
Location: Port Jefferson Long Island NY
Has thanked: 1497 times
Been thanked: 3810 times

Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by abscate »

It’s going to be a very bad weekend in NY. I’m not in a great mental or emotional state over this.

God Bless all.
Empty Nester
A Captain in a Sea of Estrogen
1999-V70-T5M56 2005-V70-M56 1999-S70 VW T4 XC90-in-Red
Link to Maintenance record thread

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6223
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 999 times

Post by volvolugnut »

abscate wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 18:22 It’s going to be a very bad weekend in NY. I’m not in a great mental or emotional state over this.

God Bless all.
Stay save. Stay strong. Look after your family.
Thanks for moderating MVS.

volvolugnut
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6223
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 999 times

Post by volvolugnut »

Dang. Can't spell. Stay Safe.

volvolugnut
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

User avatar
RickHaleParker
Posts: 7129
Joined: 25 May 2015
Year and Model: See Signature below.
Location: Kansas
Has thanked: 8 times
Been thanked: 958 times

Post by RickHaleParker »

volvolugnut wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 18:32 Dang. Can't spell. Stay Safe.
Nothing wrong with saving oneself or one's self.
⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙⸙
1998 C70, B5234T3, 16T, AW50-42, Bosch Motronic 4.4, Special Edition package.
2003 S40, B4204T3, 14T twin scroll AW55-50/51SN, Siemens EMS 2000.
2004 S60R, B8444S TF80 AWD. Yamaha V8 conversion
2005 XC90 T6 Executive, B6294T, 4T65 AWD, Bosch Motronic 7.0.

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6223
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 999 times

Post by volvolugnut »

MoVolvos wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 11:30
Slide rule. Kind of like an Abacus?
.
Was this a serious question about a slide rule?

volvolugnut
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

User avatar
MoVolvos
Posts: 5270
Joined: 15 January 2012
Year and Model: S&V70XC,S60,C30,XC90
Location: NC
Has thanked: 310 times
Been thanked: 524 times

Post by MoVolvos »

volvolugnut wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 19:01
MoVolvos wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 11:30
Slide rule. Kind of like an Abacus?
.
Was this a serious question about a slide rule?

volvolugnut
Just kidding :D. Both are kind of old school or ancient tools. I think I remember seeing it somewhere in my educational past but don't remember using it.
.
Blessings,

BKM


2008 C30 T5 2.0 M66
2007 S60 2.5T - New Project
2003 S80 T6 Transmission DIED
2000 S70 SE Base - New Project
1998 S70 T5 Prior
1989 240 Wagon Prior

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6223
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 999 times

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 10:31 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for April 3, 2020.

For your information, the top 5 states yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are US Virgin Islands, Connecticut, New Mexico, District of Columbia, and South Dakota. South Dakota has low number of cases, but is growing rapidly.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.14 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.15. The 0.15 rate calculates to doubling of cases in 5 days. Using yesterdays final case count in US of 277,161, in five days we can expect to have 554,000 cases. In ten days, at the same rate, we would have1,108,000 cases in the US.

Stay safe out there.

volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 040320 B.JPG
State Growth 040320 B.JPG (140.13 KiB) Viewed 666 times
State Growth 040320 A.JPG
State Growth 040320 A.JPG (187.63 KiB) Viewed 666 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

gcha8e
Posts: 45
Joined: 16 May 2019
Year and Model: 2005 S60 2.5T AWD
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
Has thanked: 20 times
Been thanked: 2 times

Post by gcha8e »

abscate wrote: 03 Apr 2020, 18:22 It’s going to be a very bad weekend in NY. I’m not in a great mental or emotional state over this.

God Bless all.
Hang in there. I think the curve will peak sooner than believed. I think it's unfortunate that we're sheltering in our homes in a place like Kansas City, it doesn't fit for us or most of the country. Most of the state shut down out of fear but it's too extreem. I can understand a dense urban area like NYC, but in general, staying indoors is not a wise solution to this. We're merely going to extend the economic pain and will not save lives.

My two cents are this. Viruses prey on the weak, and this is not a new thing. We have found a way to keep people alive on machines, and now we have to face the music. I am not saying we do nothing, I don't believe in the false choice. We need to be smart with the vulnerable people, hospitals, and public spaces. But requiring social distancing and shutting down people from school and work is damaging the very fabric of society. We need to pull together, and we literally CAN'T do that now :(

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6223
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 999 times

Post by volvolugnut »

I made a table of the top 10 states with worst growth rate calculated as the last 5 day moving average. Shown below.
These states could be very much in the news in the next weeks. Some of these states already are recognized as hot spots.

volvolugnut
Attachments
Top 10 states 040320.JPG
Top 10 states 040320.JPG (28.08 KiB) Viewed 656 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

User avatar
abscate
MVS Moderator
Posts: 35272
Joined: 17 February 2013
Year and Model: 99: V70s S70s,05 V70
Location: Port Jefferson Long Island NY
Has thanked: 1497 times
Been thanked: 3810 times

Post by abscate »

We had a huge positive step forward today. Our ICU discharges exceeded intakes first the first time.

We got 140 vents from The state of Oregon , which was an act of kindness and a very shrewd move on their part.

We are still adding 300 on vents daily and are doubling up, using BiPAPS, anesthesia as vents , and scouring the states for all inventory to,move to NYC

Projections are our peak is 7-10 days away. It’s going to,be close,
Empty Nester
A Captain in a Sea of Estrogen
1999-V70-T5M56 2005-V70-M56 1999-S70 VW T4 XC90-in-Red
Link to Maintenance record thread

Post Reply