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volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 13 Apr 2020, 08:36 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for April 13, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: South Dakota (0.261) with 868 cases, Arkansas (0.220) with 1475 cases, Maine (0.187) with 698 cases, Iowa (0.141) with 1710 cases, and North Dakota (0.128) with 331 cases. If I heard correctly on NPR radio this morning, South Dakota has two counties with some type of social distancing order.

I have not included them in the sort of states, but I now have data for US Military at the bottom of table. There may be delays in reporting, but the data shows a growth rate of 0.38 for yesterday.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0527 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0569. A growth rate of 0.0527 calculates to about two weeks to double number of cases. But US growth rate has been steadily dropping, so in two weeks we likely will not have doubled, but perhaps 1.5 times current case number.

Stay safe out there. Keep your family close and others at a distance.

volvolugnut
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Post by Phainein7 »

Wis. company releases COVID-19 blood test into U.S. market: ARCpoint Labs
...
The new test is quick and simple, as it uses a finger prick of blood
on a test strip, and has a 97 percent accuracy rate.
======
Please note, the COVID-19 Antibody Test is not intended to serve as an official diagnosis of COVID-19 or inform infection status, but to identify those who have recovered from COVID-19 and potentially provide important information about how widespread and contagious this disease actually is.

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Post by Phainein7 »

Phainein7 wrote: 14 Apr 2020, 11:48...
The new test is quick and simple, as it uses a finger prick of blood
on a test strip, and has a 97 percent accuracy rate.
======
Another news site says this test is 87% accuracy...,

The Grays spent $125 each to see if they had antibodies that would make them immune COVID-19.

Lab workers are able to get results from a blood sample within 10 minutes.

The lab acknowledges the test is only 87% accurate and not yet approved by the FDA. ARCpoint said it provides valuable information for folks concerned they have previously had the virus or for those contemplating whether to go back to the office.

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Post by abscate »

...and the presence of antibodies does not mean immunity. We don’t know enough about this disease to say that.

I would file this under $125 better spent on Volvo parts

Not a scam in the sense of Theranos, but playing on people’s fears and desire to know.

Price point is perfect fit for sheep to be shorn. Enough to make a buck, not enough to get upset over. Same amount t you lose getting your pocket picked at the brothel, worthwhile, but too small for the police report.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 14 Apr 2020, 09:54 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for April 14, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Iowa (0.190) with 1899 cases, South Dakota (0.183) with 988 cases, Delaware (0.114) with 1926 cases, West Virginia (0.114) with 694 cases, and Kentucky (0.099) with 2211 cases. There are now 49 states and territories with growth rate 0.10 or below and 29 states and territories with growth rate 0.05 or below. We are not out of trouble yet, but steps to slow the virus are working.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0512 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0527. Steady, small steps of improvement.

I have included another table today for the top 10 growth rate states using the 5 Day Moving Average.

Stay safe out there. Keep your family close and others at a distance.

volvolugnut
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State Growth 041420 A.JPG
State Growth 041420 A.JPG (233.46 KiB) Viewed 798 times
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Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
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Post by Phainein7 »

abscate wrote: 15 Apr 2020, 04:28Not a scam in the sense of Theranos, but playing on people’s fears and desire to know.
Much of Fauci's time outside of the White House briefing room is
focused on analyzing progress on blood tests that aim to tell who was
exposed to the coronavirus -- whether they knew they were sick or not
-- by spotting antibodies their immune system formed to fight back.
Those tests will be crucial in determining when and how people can go
back to work.

The problem: Most of the tests have not yet been proven to work well,
Fauci cautioned. He noted that some countries bought millions of
antibody tests only to learn they didn't work.
=============================

Your Coronavirus Check Is Coming. Your Bank Can Grab It.

Regulators have given banks the green light to use stimulus funds to
pay off debts that individuals owe them.
...
...
Congress did not exempt CARES Act payments from private debt
collection, and the Treasury Department has been reluctant to exempt
them through its rulemaking authority. This means that individuals
could see their payments transferred from their hands into the hands
of their creditors, potentially leaving them with nothing.
===============

GM begins ventilator production to replenish U.S. stockpile

General Motors on Tuesday began mass production of critical care
ventilators that will be delivered to the federal government to
replenish depleted U.S. stockpiles in the fight against the
coronavirus.

Why it matters: The automaker has a $489.4 million contract to produce
30,000 ventilators by August under the Defense Production Act, which
President Trump invoked on March 27 in an effort to meet exploding
demand for the life-saving devices.

Details: GM and its partner, Ventec Life Systems, said they will ship
more than 600 ventilators this month, and almost 15,000 by the end of
June. All 30,000 will be delivered by the end of August, but GM said
it has the capacity to build more ventilators after August if needed.
====
What is that some $16,313.33 per ventilator.
===============================

What Do Countries With The Best Coronavirus Responses Have In Common?

Looking for examples of true leadership in a crisis? From Iceland to
Taiwan and from Germany to New Zealand, women are stepping up to show
the world how to manage a messy patch for our human family. Add in
Finland, Iceland and Denmark, and this pandemic is revealing that
women have what it takes when the heat rises in our Houses of State.
Many will say these are small countries, or islands, or other
exceptions. But Germany is large and leading, and the UK is an island
with very different outcomes. These leaders are gifting us an
attractive alternative way of wielding power. What are they teaching
us? Women Leaders
==================================

Note the use of the tail as a propeller



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Post by abscate »

16k is about the preCovid price for a vent, NY was bidding at 50k to stock NYC for the peak
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Post by Phainein7 »

abscate wrote: 15 Apr 2020, 13:0816k is about the preCovid price for a vent
Announcing airbreak, a toolkit to jailbreak inexpensive CPAP machines
to turn them into emergency #COVID19 ventilators by unlocking all
operational modes and allowing custom software extensions.
https://airbreak.dev
===============================

March 27, 2020

CPAP Machines Were Seen As Ventilator Alternatives, But Could Spread
COVID-19
...
...
This week, the Food and Drug Administration provided guidance that
allows hospitals to modify respiratory devices, including ventilators,
CPAPs and BiPAPs, during the public health emergency, as long as they
take steps to prevent aerosolization of the virus.
...
...
Anybody who uses a CPAP machine at home, he said, may want to sleep in
a separate room from loved ones to avoid infecting them. That's true
even if the person with apnea doesn't have any COVID-19 symptoms. And
if patients are advised by their doctors to stop using their machines,
Winter says, they should also avoid driving, because they may be
sleep-deprived.
================================

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Post by Phainein7 »

June wrote: 12 Apr 2020, 11:42It seems if you can afford it
"Death comes to all—but in America it has long been considered reasonable to offer the best chance of delay to the highest bidder."
=============================

Also, living in better locations with better air quality may offer better outcomes with Covid-19...


For Greater Chaco communities, air pollution compounds COVID-19 threat


Within this article, "A study conducted by a team of researchers led
by Xiao Wu at Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health, found that
air pollution exposure is linked to increased mortality rates
associated with COVID-19."

===================

Keep in mind this finding, and where these people live...most likely, where lots of exhaust fumes exist....poorer air quality (older buildings may not be well ventilated).

New analysis by researchers at New York University's Furman Center,
which studies housing, neighborhoods and urban policy, found that
strongest neighborhood factors linked to high COVID-19 rates were
having a large share of black and Hispanic residents; having a high
proportion of overcrowded apartments and having a large share of
residents without college degrees.

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Post by abscate »

RickHaleParker wrote: 14 Apr 2020, 06:59
Kansas Supreme Court Sides With Governor In Church Gatherings Dispute. Overturning the Kansas GOP overturn. It looks like only two churches in Kansas defied Governor Kelly's Executive order. But that does not excuse the mind bogging stupidity.
Not trying to dump on your state Rick, but I read the Governor is under fire for poor processing of Unemployment claims.

Weren’t these the same guys who decided we didn’t need government a few years back?

Wtf?
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