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Coronavirus Thread

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abscate
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by abscate » Wed May 13, 2020 6:24 am

It’s scary but elections come down to the choice of about 250,000 voters in a few swing states, due the Electoral College process.
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut » Wed May 13, 2020 6:57 am

volvolugnut wrote:
Tue May 12, 2020 8:27 am
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 12, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.189) with 12,494 cases, Arkansas (0.151) with 4164 cases, South Dakota (0.113) with 3663 cases, Oklahoma (0.105) with 4732 cases, and Montana (0.100) with 461 cases. States in Bold have reopened to various levels.

Worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... rus-cases/ has started to add state curve information to their website.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam and Montana were over 2.00, but have few total cases.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0219 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0177. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by Phainein7 » Wed May 13, 2020 8:21 am

MoVolvos wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 1:08 am
One could easily say
The snake-oil salesman has been effective at pulling the wool over many working stiffs, who have unrealistic expectations of a future world, while this salesman has been supporting.the business class with preferential considerations.

Aunt Emma says, "Like a cult leader whose grip on his followers weakens when they start seeing the disastrous effects of his rule, he compels them to join him on his flight from reality, even tho he knows that it spells their doom. Their sacrifice assures him of his greatness."

The Press would say, "18,000 lies and misleading claims..."
==============

The Risks - Know Them - Avoid Them
=============

How Scientists Quantify the Intensity of an Outbreak Like COVID-19

An epidemiologist explains the term "R0" and how many people one
person with the coronavirus can infect.
====================

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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by subzerocarfanatic » Wed May 13, 2020 8:25 am

abscate wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 6:24 am
It’s scary but elections come down to the choice of about 250,000 voters in a few swing states, due the Electoral College process.
Scary thought.

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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by MoVolvos » Wed May 13, 2020 7:13 pm

Phainein7 wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 8:21 am
MoVolvos wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 1:08 am
One could easily say
The snake-oil salesman has been effective at pulling the wool over many working stiffs, who have unrealistic expectations of a future world, while this salesman has been supporting.the business class with preferential considerations.

Aunt Emma says, "Like a cult leader whose grip on his followers weakens when they start seeing the disastrous effects of his rule, he compels them to join him on his flight from reality, even tho he knows that it spells their doom. Their sacrifice assures him of his greatness."

The Press would say, "18,000 lies and misleading claims..."
==============

The Risks - Know Them - Avoid Them
=============

How Scientists Quantify the Intensity of an Outbreak Like COVID-19

An epidemiologist explains the term "R0" and how many people one
person with the coronavirus can infect.
====================
Really interesting how 4 words can trigger so much response not related to the context of the original sentence. Artificial Intelligence, Fake Intelligence or Parrot Intelligence? Really interesting regardless.
.
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by Phainein7 » Wed May 13, 2020 8:19 pm

MoVolvos wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 7:13 pm
...how 4 words can trigger...
Your generalization dissected with three specific examples suggesting one character is in a separate taxonomic classification not related to the other two.
===============

RE: "...weak area in our system..."

See next comment below
===============

How COVID-19 Kills: New Study Explains the Mechanisms of the New Coronavirus
.

In a new review article --- explicitly targeted to non-specialists as
well -- in Frontiers in Public Health, a team of experts from Zunyi
Medical University review the epidemiology, disease pathway, symptoms,
diagnosis, and current treatment of severe COVID-19. They stress the
key role of a potentially lethal overreaction of the immune system in
the progression of the disease.
===================

Team Trump Pushes CDC to Revise Down Its COVID Death Counts
.
The president and members of his task force are skeptical of the
numbers and want the methodology changed.

President Donald Trump and members of his coronavirus task force are
pushing officials at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to
change how the agency works with states to count coronavirus-related
deaths. And they're pushing for revisions that could lead to far fewer
deaths being counted than originally reported, according to five
administration officials working on the government's response to the
pandemic.
=================

Maria Branyas: 'Oldest woman in Spain' beats coronavirus at 113

A 113-year-old woman - believed to be the oldest woman in Spain - has
recovered from the coronavirus, officials have said.
=============

Amtrak's Acela to Make Comeback, Riders or Not

Amtrak plans to restart its Acela express service between Washington
and Boston on June 1, a first step in the national railroad's return
from a near-shutdown after the coronavirus crushed rider...
wsj.com
===============

Vice President Mike Pence is seen in the back of his SUV wearing a protective mask as he arrives at the White House.
=============

Former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort released from prison to home confinement over virus fears, lawyer says
===

But, the working stiffs are told to go back to work in many states,
while employers seek protection from Covid-19 lawsuits.

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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by MoVolvos » Wed May 13, 2020 8:33 pm

Phainein7 wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 8:19 pm
MoVolvos wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 7:13 pm
...how 4 words can trigger...
Your generalization dissected.
Thanks.
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volvolugnut

Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut » Thu May 14, 2020 7:21 am

volvolugnut wrote:
Wed May 13, 2020 6:57 am
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for May 13, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: North Carolina (0.123) with 16,315 cases, Oklahoma (0.116) with 4852 cases, North Dakota (0.116) with 1647 cases, Minnesota (0.116) with 12,917 cases, and Texas (0.100) with 43,502 cases. States in Bold have reopened to various levels.

The average growth rate of the top 5 states yesterday was 0.114. This rate will double the number of cases in 6.5 days.

Worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... rus-cases/ has started to add state curve information to their website.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. North Carolina was over 2.00 yesterday.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0213 for yesterday, down slightly from previous day of 0.0219. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by subzerocarfanatic » Thu May 14, 2020 11:44 am

Trump is supposed to be in the process of making them retract some of their numbers for this, good call on his part if they are in fact over inflating the numbers for mere profit by means of more viruses equals more funding. I have no doubt lots of people are sick and dying from this but are their number figures accurate....not likely,it's all about the old mighty dollar as usual.Sad when we don't know who to trust,and quite scary!

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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by Phainein7 » Thu May 14, 2020 11:48 am

volvolugnut wrote:
Thu May 14, 2020 7:21 am
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.
How Virginia Juked Its COVID-19 Data

The state is combining results from viral and antibody tests in the
same statistic. This threatens to confound America's understanding of
the pandemic.

The United States' ability to test for the novel coronavirus finally
seems to be improving. As recently as late April, the country rarely
reported more than 150,000 new test results each day. The U.S. now
routinely claims to conduct more than 300,000 tests a day, according
to state-level data compiled by the COVID Tracking Project at The
Atlantic.

But these rosy numbers may conceal a problem: A lack of federal
guidelines has created huge variation in how states are reporting
their COVID-19 data and in what kind of data they provide to the
public.

These gaps can be used for political advantage. In at least one state,
Virginia, senior officials are blending the results of two different
types of coronavirus test in order to report a more favorable result
to the public. This harms the integrity of the data they use to make
decisions, reassure residents, and justify reopening their economies.

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