Coronavirus Thread

[j-dawg]

Here in CA the new case count has been dropping pretty rapidly of late, to around a third of what it was a month ago, despite things continuing to reopen. We seem to have put the fight about masks and social distancing behind us and are now finding our way to being a regular functional society again, with some limitations. I now feel that while I won't be happy about it, we've achieved a sustainable level of human interaction, which I could keep going for another year if I had to.

What breaks my heart is that if we'd taken these measures five months ago, that year would have only been a few months. Contact tracing could have had a hope of working and we could have been in the same position as the rest of the developed world is in now. But we live in a nation whose foremost political impulse is to fight, instead of solve problems. Any failure to disagree with your opponents is regarded as weakness. So here we are.

A friend asked me to bet on whether we'd still be wearing masks a year from today. I declined the wager. I have no idea. We have dug ourselves into a deep hole.

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for September 29, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Mississippi (0.134) with 97,638 cases, Wisconsin (0.121) with 119,955 cases, North Dakota (0.114) with 21,401 cases, Arkansas (0.099) with 82,755 cases, and Minnesota (0.098) with 98,447 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Wisconsin has been in top 5 list for 18 of last 25 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 58 of last 90 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 21 of last 42 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 38 of last 55 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Federal Prisons were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Guam, Maine, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, and Texas were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0174 for yesterday, up sharply from previous day of 0.0147. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for September 30, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Arkansas (0.135) with 83,697 cases, North Dakota (0.122) with 21,846 cases, Wyoming (0.119) with 5948 cases, Wisconsin (0.114) with 122,274 cases, and Mississippi (0.112) with 98,190 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 22 of last 43 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 59 of last 91 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 10 of last 16 days. Wisconsin has been in top 5 list for 19 of last 26 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. US Military was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Georgia, Maine, Mississippi, and Rhode Island were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0161 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0174. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 01, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: South Dakota (0.204) with 23,136 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.182) with 1326 cases, New Hampshire (0.167) with 8317 cases, Arkansas (0.160) with 84,821 cases, and Minnesota (0.139) with 100,200 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. South Dakota has been in top 5 list for 19 of last 41 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 18 of last 32 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 23 of last 44 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 39 of last 57 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Kansas, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, South Dakota and US Virgin Islands were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0187 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0161. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 02, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are:, New Hampshire (0.635) with 8534 cases, Vermont (0.148) with 1768 cases, Minnesota (0.144) with 101,366 cases, Arkansas (0.132) with 85,779 cases, and North Dakota (0.129) with 22,694 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 19 of last 33 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 40 of last 58 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 24 of last 45 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 60 of last 93 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. New Hampshire and Vermont were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Connecticut, District of Columbia, Louisiana, Nevada, and US Military were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0204 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0187. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 03, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.162) with 102,787 cases, New Hampshire (0.138) with 8597 cases, Wyoming (0.129) with 6365 cases, Wisconsin (0.126) with 130,798 cases, and Montana (0.122) with 14,356 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 41 of last 59 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 20 of last 34 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 11 of last 19 days. Wisconsin has been in top 5 list for 20 of last 29 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Kansas was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Alabama, Missouri, and South Carolina were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0195 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0204. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 04, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Tennessee (0.120) with 201,210 cases, Minnesota (0.118) with 103,826 cases, Louisiana (0.116) with 168,294 cases, Wyoming (0.113) with 6504 cases, and North Dakota (0.110) with 23,550 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 42 of last 60 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 12 of last 20 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 61 of last 95 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Louisiana was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0133 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0195. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 05, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Vermont (0.305) with 1817 cases, Guam (0.200) with 2753 cases, Tennessee (0.175) with 203,699 cases, Minnesota (0.114) with 104,799 cases, and Wyoming (0.097) with 6629 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 4 of last 11 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 43 of last 61 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 13 of last 21 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Connecticut, Guam, Rhode Island, Vermont, US Military, and Federal Prisons were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Kansas, Michigan, Tennessee, Washington were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0161 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0133. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I had computer problems yesterday and did not get these numbers posted.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 06, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Mississippi (0.137) with 101,678 cases, North Dakota (0.136) with 24,364 cases, Minnesota (0.114) with 105,740 cases, Wyoming (0.108) with 6770 cases, and Oklahoma (0.107) with 93,346 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 62 of last 97 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 44 of last 62 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 14 of last 22 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Arizona, District of Columbia, Mississippi, and Federal Prisons were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0174 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0161. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 07, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Montana (0.144) with 16,063 cases, New Hampshire (0.138) with 8800 cases, North Dakota (0.134) with 24,857 cases, South Dakota (0.132) with 25,906 cases, and Tennessee (0.132) with 207,455 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 21 of last 38 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 63 of last 98 days. South Dakota has been in top 5 list for 20 of last 47 days. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 5 of last 13 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. US Virgin Islands were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Montana, New Mexico, US Military, Veterans Affairs, and Federal Prisons were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0189 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0174. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut