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volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 07 Dec 2022, 08:37
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 7, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.248) with 23,608 cases, West Virginia (0.239) with 616,506 cases, Guam (0.164) with 59,460 cases, New York (0.118) with 6,598,238 cases, and Arkansas (0.107) with 972,465 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 141 of the last 168 days. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 366 of the last 457 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 45 of the last 45 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 39 of the last 63 days. Arkansas has been in the top 5 states for 17 of the last 25 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0311 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0163 This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 27 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 194 of last 310 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 100 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 08 Dec 2022, 08:05
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 8, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.219) with 616,804 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.212) with 23,627 cases, Guam (0.164) with 59,460 cases, New York (0.107) with 6,606,299 cases, and Montana (0.105) with 319,023 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 367 of the last 458 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 142 of the last 169 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 46 of the last 46 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 40 of the last 64 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 243 of the last 353 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0238 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0311 This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 33 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 194 of last 311 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 100 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 09 Dec 2022, 07:12
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 9, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.223) with 617,094 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.192) with 23,633 cases, Guam (0.164) with 59,460 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, and New York (0.099) with 6,613,391 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 368 of the last 459 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 143 of the last 170 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 47 of the last 47 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 244 of the last 354 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 41 of the last 65 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0188 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0238. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 33 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 194 of last 312 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 10 Dec 2022, 11:32
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 10, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.223) with 617,094 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.192) with 23,633 cases, Guam (0.164) with 59,460 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, and New York (0.095) with 6,619,452 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 369 of the last 460 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 144 of the last 171 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 48 of the last 48 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 245 of the last 355 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 42 of the last 66 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00558 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0188. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 53 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 195 of last 313 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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State Growth 121022 A.png
State Growth 121022 A.png (130.34 KiB) Viewed 365 times
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State Growth 121022 B.png (116.09 KiB) Viewed 365 times
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 11 Dec 2022, 08:01
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 11, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.223) with 617,094 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.192) with 23,633 cases, Guam (0.164) with 59,460 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, and New York (0.096) with 6,625,023 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 370 of the last 461 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 145 of the last 172 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 49 of the last 49 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 246 of the last 356 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 43 of the last 67 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00469 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00558. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 54 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 195 of last 314 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Post by abscate »

Listening to M&M at the hospital this morning, the stats gif winter are showing 80x worse for flu-Covid-RSV this year. It’s so bad we don’t even believe the stats.

Please get your vaccines and up your game on masks and hand washing
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 12 Dec 2022, 07:57
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 12, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.231) with 617,812 cases, Guam (0.187) with 59,574 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.138) with 23,655 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, and New York (0.094) with 6,631,201 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 371 of the last 462 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 50 of the last 50 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 146 of the last 173 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 247 of the last 357 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 44 of the last 68 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0122 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00469. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 40 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 195 of last 315 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 13 Dec 2022, 08:10
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 13, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.234) with 618,099 cases, Guam (0.187) with 59,574 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.117) with 23,667 cases, and New York (0.092) with 6,636,872 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 372 of the last 463 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 51 of the last 51 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 248 of the last 358 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 147 of the last 174 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 45 of the last 69 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0153 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0122. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 39 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 195 of last 316 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
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State Growth 121322 A.png
State Growth 121322 A.png (130.17 KiB) Viewed 323 times
State Growth 121322 B.png
State Growth 121322 B.png (117.33 KiB) Viewed 323 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
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Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 14 Dec 2022, 07:18
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 14, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.235) with 618,480 cases, Guam (0.187) with 59,574 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.098) with 23,669 cases, and New York (0.092) with 6,643,133 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 373 of the last 464 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 52 of the last 52 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 249 of the last 359 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 148 of the last 175 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 46 of the last 70 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0312 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0153. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 23 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

New cases reported yesterday (51,911) were the highest since September 14, 2022 when they were 55,398.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 195 of last 317 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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State Growth 121422 A.png
State Growth 121422 A.png (133.3 KiB) Viewed 315 times
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State Growth 121422 B.png (120.31 KiB) Viewed 315 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
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And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 15 Dec 2022, 08:08
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
State growth rates for December 15, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.247) with 618,893 cases, Guam (0.187) with 59,574 cases, Montana (0.132) with 320,156 cases, and New York (0.093) with 6,651,600 cases, and US Virgin Islands (0.087) with 23,679 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 374 of the last 465 days. Guam has been in the top 5 states for 53 of the last 53 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 250 of the last 360 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 47 of the last 71 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 149 of the last 176 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0242 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0312. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 31 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.

Several states, including Alaska, Mississippi, Nebraska, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Vermont, may only be reporting on an irregular basis. These states have not reported for at least two weeks.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 195 of last 318 days with decreasing active case numbers.

There have now been 101 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 30% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


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The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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