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volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 07 Jan 2024, 17:17
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 7, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.105) with 7,417,742 cases, North Dakota (0.063) with 305,036 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 344,970 cases, Puerto Rico (0.039) with 1,411,569 cases, and Maine (0.035) with 338,567 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 414 of the last 459 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 198 of the last 217 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 168 of the last 208 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 27 of the last 27 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 97 of the last 139 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00600 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00582. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 444 of last 706 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for December 30, 2023 were 1713 counties (53%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1196 counties (37%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 306 counties (9.5%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. January 3, 2024 active cases rose to 1,084,325. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 08 Jan 2024, 07:49
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 8, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.104) with 7,421,774 cases, North Dakota (0.063) with 305,036 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 344,970 cases, Puerto Rico (0.039) with 1,411,569 cases, and Maine (0.035) with 338,567 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 415 of the last 460 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 199 of the last 218 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 169 of the last 209 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 28 of the last 28 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 98 of the last 140 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00571 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00600. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 445 of last 707 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for December 30, 2023 were 1713 counties (53%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1196 counties (37%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 306 counties (9.5%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases are once again above 1,000,000. January 3, 2024 active cases rose to 1,084,325. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 09 Jan 2024, 17:58
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 9, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.103) with 7,425,216 cases, North Dakota (0.063) with 305,036 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 344,970 cases, Maine (0.043) with 339,933 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.041) with 1,413,874 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 416 of the last 461 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 200 of the last 219 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 170 of the last 210 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 99 of the last 141 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 29 of the last 29 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0147 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00571. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 50 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 445 of last 708 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for December 30, 2023 were 1713 counties (53%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1196 counties (37%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 306 counties (9.5%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases were above 1,000,000. January 9, 2024 active cases rose to 1,106,912. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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State Growth 010924 B.png (79.34 KiB) Viewed 276 times
Last edited by volvolugnut on 11 Jan 2024, 08:29, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 10 Jan 2024, 17:43
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 10, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.103) with 7,428,535 cases, North Dakota (0.063) with 305,036 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 344,970 cases, Puerto Rico (0.043) with 1,415,479 cases, and Maine (0.043) with 339,933 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 417 of the last 462 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 201 of the last 220 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 171 of the last 211 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 30 of the last 30 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 100 of the last 142 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0108 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0147. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 48 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 445 of last 709 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for December 30, 2023 were 1713 counties (53%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1196 counties (37%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 306 counties (9.5%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases were above 1,000,000. January 9, 2024 active cases rose to 1,106,912. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Post by abscate »

Hospital admissions locally…

RSV is falling, Covid cases are still climbing, Haven’t peaked yet
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 11 Jan 2024, 08:28
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 11, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.106) with 7,435,231 cases, North Dakota (0.063) with 305,036 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 344,970 cases, Puerto Rico (0.043) with 1,417,105 cases, and Maine (0.035) with 339,933 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 418 of the last 463 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 202 of the last 221 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 172 of the last 212 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 31 of the last 31 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 101 of the last 143 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0111 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0108. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 52 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 446 of last 710 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for December 30, 2023 were 1713 counties (53%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1196 counties (37%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 306 counties (9.5%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases were above 1,000,000. January 10, 2024 active cases rose to 1,126,745. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 12 Jan 2024, 09:00
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 12, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.107) with 7,440,863 cases, North Dakota (0.077) with 305,776 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 345,998 cases, Puerto Rico (0.044) with 1,418,765 cases, and Maine (0.038) with 340,339 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 419 of the last 464 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 203 of the last 222 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 173 of the last 213 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 32 of the last 32 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 102 of the last 144 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0110 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0111. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 51 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 446 of last 711 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for January 6, 2024 were 1744 counties (54%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1226 counties (38%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 252 counties (7.8%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). The number of High risk counties dropped from 306 to 252. It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases were above 1,000,000. January 10, 2024 active cases rose to 1,126,745. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
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State Growth 011224 B.png (77.87 KiB) Viewed 263 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 24 Oct 2023, 14:56
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.


To give some context to these changes, I have calculated the average growth rate for each week back to April. The growth rate is calculated as the number of new cases each day divided by the number of active cases for the previous day. There is a typical weekly pattern of rising cases each week and falling case numbers on the weekends. I have calculated the 7 day average of the growth rate for Saturday to Friday of each week.

Using the 7 day growth rate, a calculation can be made of the number of days for the new cases to double. This calculation uses (1+Growth Rate) to the exponential of 1/X and solved for when this equation equals 2 (doubling of new cases). Variable X is the number of days to double the new cases count. I have made this calculation using 14 day and 21 day growth rate averages as well.

A graph using the average for 7, 14, and 21 days and showing the days to double new case counts for April to middle of November is below. Another graph shows the 7 day average new virus cases counts for the same period.

Inspection of the graphs show that when the line for days to double becomes flat, there may soon be a decline or increase to the count of new cases. This has happened three times since April. When the slope of the line for doubling is steep, either going up or down, there is unlikely to be a change soon in the growth or decline in new cases.

The current lines for case doubling now shows some indication of going flat soon. I expect we will see the number of new virus cases continue to increase, but we may have a change of direction starting. Perhaps the changing recommendations for controlling the virus are beginning to have an impact.

There was an error in my original logic posted on November 14. During the upward slope periods of the Days to Double graph, the actual number of daily cases are declining. I reconsidered how to resolve this contradiction in logic.

I have added a new graph with a calculation of the slope of the new case numbers (current case count minus past case count divided by the number of days). The slope of a curve is the rate of change of the plotted line. If we were plotting velocity, the slope would be the acceleration. The slope is a better representation of the virus growth because the slope goes negative when the trend in cases starts going down.

volvolugnut
I have updated the graphs for the last several months (Since October 24, 2023).

The New Case Slope graph has risen sightly for the past several weeks and is now in positive range. The Days to Double for the 14 day, and 21 day Days to Double have been dropping since November. New Case Count average increased for the past several weeks. Growth Rate Average has increased for several weeks.

Many Districts and states have not reported in several months. With fewer states reporting, overall trends may not reflect the true conditions.

Stay safe out there. A new variant of Covid-19 is spreading. Don't get careless and keep up your defenses. Actions to avoid Covid-19 also reduces other viral diseases.

volvolugnut
Attachments
New Case Slope 010624.png
New Case Slope 010624.png (61.32 KiB) Viewed 262 times
Days to Double 010624.png
Days to Double 010624.png (73.7 KiB) Viewed 262 times
New Case Count Average 010624.png
New Case Count Average 010624.png (55 KiB) Viewed 262 times
Growth Rate Average 010624.png
Growth Rate Average 010624.png (58.73 KiB) Viewed 262 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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volvolugnut
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 13 Jan 2024, 08:05
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 13, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.105) with 7,446,070 cases, North Dakota (0.077) with 305,776 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 345,998 cases, Puerto Rico (0.045) with 1,420,949 cases, and Maine (0.034) with 340,339 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 420 of the last 465 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 204 of the last 223 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 174 of the last 214 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 33 of the last 33 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 103 of the last 145 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00655 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0110. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 447 of last 712 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for January 6, 2024 were 1744 counties (54%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1226 counties (38%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 252 counties (7.8%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). The number of High risk counties dropped from 306 to 252. It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases were above 1,000,000. January 10, 2024 active cases rose to 1,126,745. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 011324A.png
State Growth 011324A.png (81.5 KiB) Viewed 253 times
State Growth 011324 B.png
State Growth 011324 B.png (77.09 KiB) Viewed 253 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6233
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 1000 times

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 14 Jan 2024, 09:06
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for January 14, 2024. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: New York (0.103) with 7,450,865 cases, North Dakota (0.077) with 305,776 cases, Delaware (0.046) with 345,998 cases, Puerto Rico (0.046) with 1,421,569 cases, and Maine (0.034) with 340,339 cases. New York has been in the top 5 states for 421 of the last 466 days. North Dakota has been in the top 5 states for 205 of the last 224 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 175 of the last 215 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 34 of the last 34 days. Maine has been in the top 5 states for 104 of the last 146 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00547 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00655. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been rising the last several weeks. There have been 447 of last 713 days with decreasing active case numbers.

New Hospital admissions are reported by CDC as number of admissions per 100,000 of county population. Reported for January 6, 2024 were 1744 counties (54%) with less than 10 new admissions per 100,000 (low risk area). There were 1226 counties (38%) with less 10 to 19.9 new 1977 admissions per 100,000 (medium risk area). There were 252 counties (7.8%) with more than 20 new admissions per 100,000 (high risk area). The number of High risk counties dropped from 306 to 252. It appears from my local review of this data, rural hospitals that serve multiple counties may be over counted as the same number of cases are applied to all counties served by the hospital. This is shown on the CDC map detail as several counties in an area with identical number of new cases reported for each county. I have observed that the number of counties with medium risk has grown in the last several weeks in the midwest states.

In early August, the number of reported active cases had dropped below 800,000 for the first time since July 2021. As of September 4, active cases were above 1,000,000. January 14, 2024 active cases rose to 1,142,094. Daily active case counts are once again consistently above 1,000,000. Growth rates are now similar to rates in February 2023.

There have now been 110 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 33% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 011424 A.png
State Growth 011424 A.png (80.35 KiB) Viewed 248 times
State Growth 011424 B.png
State Growth 011424 B.png (76.12 KiB) Viewed 248 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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