State growth rates for April 15, 2022. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.volvolugnut wrote: ↑15 Apr 2022, 07:55
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.
These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.
Again, results change daily.
I have made a change starting, April 11, 2022, to the state reporting. The leading growth rate states will be reported for the 7 day growth rate average instead of single day over day growth. Since many states are only reporting once per week, this will be a better indication of change.
For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 7 day average (the worst containment) are: West Virginia (0.170) with 498,890 cases, Minnesota (0.162) with 1,437,638 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.122) with 15,874 cases, Montana (0.114) with 273,114 cases, and New Hampshire (0.098) with 305,411 cases. West Virginia has been in the top 5 states for 132 of the last 221 days. Minnesota has been in the top 5 states for 381 of the last 616 days. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 164 of the last 358 days. Montana has been in the top 5 states for 55 of the last 116 days. New Hampshire has been in the top 5 states for 31 of the last 78 days.
Alabama, District of Columbia, Florida, Hawaii, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nebraska, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.
A column on the right shows the previous day growth rate divided by the 7 day moving average. Red highlight states were over 2.0 yesterday. Yellow highlight states were over 1.5 yesterday. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states. Many of these states did not report the last several days making this measure more variable for those states.
My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00347 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00376. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 22 states did not report new cases. It appears some states, particularly Wyoming, are deleting active cases from the count much earlier that others. These differences in the states reporting, makes the growth rate comparisons misleading.
For 56 of the last 63 days the growth rate for the US has been below 0.003. This relates to a doubling of new cases in under 230 days. Growth rate for yesterday exceeded 0.003 for the US the third time since February 18, 2022.
Daily active case counts have dropped in the last several weeks. There have been 66 of last 74 days with decreasing active case numbers. Yesterday was the third increase in active case count since February 10. 2022.
There have now been 82 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 24% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.
With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.
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