Coronavirus Thread

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

Several weeks ago a Federal report was released detailing the US states exceeding 100 new cases per 100,000 population in a week. This calculation is based on a 7 day moving average of new daily cases. Since this number changes daily and I have seen little follow up on which states made the list, I created a new table for the information.

The concept behind the Red Zone list is that if a state exceeds 100 new cases per 100,000 people in a week, the state should take additional steps to reduce the spread of the COVID-19 virus.

The tables below show the Red Zone threshold limit in the far right column for each state. I found that many of the states in the list far exceeded the threshold. The table highlights each day in Yellow if the number is 1.0 to 1.5 times the limit. The table highlights each day in Orange if the number is 1.5 to 2.0 times the limit. The table highlights each day in Pink if the number is 2.0 to 3.0 times the limit. The table highlights each day in Purple if the number is greater than 3.0 times the limit.

Please Note: All highlighted cells are in the 'Red Zone'. Only uncolored cells are below the critical limit.

US Virgin Islands and Guam should be ignored. They have missing information.

Some states have improved over time and others have grown worse.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 13, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Guam (0.275) with 477 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.265) with 682 cases, North Dakota (0.194) with 8171 cases, Hawaii (0.157) with 4312 cases, and Minnesota (0.146) with 62,993 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 12 of last 16 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 29 of last 43 days. Hawaii has been in top 5 list for 14 of last 21 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 5 of last 8 days. US Virgin Islands and Guam have few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam, North Caolina, and Navajo Nation were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Hawaii, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Wyoming, and Federal Prisions were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0233 for yesterday, up slightly from previous day of 0.0228. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 14, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Guam (0.194) with 502 cases, Minnesota (0.148) with 63,723 cases, Vermont (0.148) with 1501 cases, New Hampshire (0.147) with 6964 cases, and North Dakota (0.138) with 8322 cases,. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Guam has been in top 5 list for 3 of last 3 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 30 of last 44 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 6 of last 9 days. Guam has few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. North Carolina and Navajo Nation were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Guam, Hawaii, and Federal Prisons were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0233 for yesterday, up slightly from previous day of 0.0228. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 15, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.155) with 734 cases, Arkansas (0.134) with 53,243 cases, Minnesota (0.130) with 64,413 cases, Oklahoma (0.129) with 47,798 cases, and North Carolina (0.108) with 144,642 cases,. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 13 of last 18 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 11 of last 20 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 7 of last 10 days. Oklahoma has been in top 5 list for 28 of last 44 days. US Virgin Islands has few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Iowa and North Carolina were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0220 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0233. This is not population or case number weighted.
I corrected the US average for 8/15/20. I made a calculation error.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 16, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: South Dakota (0.144) with 10,274 cases, Minnesota (0.142) with 65,152 cases, North Dakota (0.123) with 8587 cases, Wyoming (0.110) with 3286 cases, and Wisconsin (0.077) with 65,741 cases,. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 8 of last 11 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 31 of last 46 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). No areas were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0150 for yesterday, down sharply from previous day of 0.0220. This is not population or case number weighted. This sharp drop is likely a 'weekend effect' and will not be sustained. The number of new cases in the US yesterday was down sharply to 36,843. The last time the US new case number was this low was on June 23, 2020.
I corrected the previous day US average. I made an error in the calculation.


volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 17, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Guam (0.371) with 558 cases, Minnesota (0.108) with 65,716 cases, Vermont (0.100) with 1527 cases, Kansas (0.095) with 35,418 cases, and US Virgin Islands (0.091) with 760 cases,. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 9 of last 12 days. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 14 of last 20 days. Guam and US Virgin Islands have few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Connecticut, Guam, Kansas, Rhode Island, US Military, and Navajo Nation were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). No areas were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0164 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0150. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 18, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.159) with 796 cases, North Carolina (0.120) with 147,897 cases, North Dakota (0.115) with 8782 cases, Guam (0.095) with 577 cases, and Oklahoma (0.082) with 49,326 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 15 of last 21 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 32 of last 48 days. Oklahoma has been in top 5 list for 29 of last 47 days. Guam and US Virgin Islands have few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Mississippi, North Carolina, and Veterans Affairs were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0179 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0164. This is not population or case number weighted.

In the last few days, a new column has been added to the table - Total Recovered.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 19, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: North Dakota (0.159) with 8968 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.126) with 828 cases, Arkansas (0.124) with 54,216 cases, Minnesota (0.118) with 66,618 cases, and Wyoming (0.118) with 3430 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 33 of last 49 days. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 16 of last 22 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 10 of last 14 days. US Virgin Islands has few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Mississippi was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Arkansas, Kansas, US Military, and Federal Prisons were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0182 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0179. This is not population or case number weighted.

In the last few days, a new column has been added to the table - Total Recovered.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 20, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Guam (0.457) with 704 cases, North Dakota (0.227) with 9242 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.174) with 869 cases, Minnesota (0.150) with 67,308 cases, and West Virginia (0.105) with 8982 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 34 of last 50 days. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 17 of last 23 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 11 of last 15 days. US Virgin Islands and Guam have few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Iowa, Louisiana, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, West Virginia, and Federal Prisons were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0184 for yesterday, up slightly from previous day of 0.0182. This is not population or case number weighted.

In the last few days, a new column has been added to the table - Total Recovered.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

I am posting this information in the afternoon now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the cooler morning and indoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for August 21, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.267) with 932 cases, Guam (0.199) with 767 cases, Minnesota (0.168) with 68,133 cases, North Dakota (0.166) with 9474 cases, and Arkansas (0.157) with 55,652 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 18 of last 24 days. Guam has been in top 5 list for 5 of last 8 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 12 of last 16 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 35 of last 51 days. US Virgin Islands and Guam have few cases.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Arkansas, Massachusetts, Montana, Oklahoma, South Dakota, US Virgin Islands, and US Military were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0204 for yesterday, up sharply from previous day of 0.0184. This is not population or case number weighted.

In the last few days, a new column has been added to the table - Total Recovered.

volvolugnut