Coronavirus Thread

Post by **volvolugnut** » 18 Oct 2020, 15:37

volvolugnut wrote: ↑17 Oct 2020, 08:22 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 17, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: North Dakota (0.142) with 31,261 cases, Minnesota (0.141) with 121,090 cases, Tennessee (0.141) with 226,139 cases, New Hampshire (0.124) with 9625 cases, and South Dakota (0.110) with 32,611 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 72 of last 108 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 52 of last 73 days. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 8 of last 23 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 25 of last 48 days. South Dakota has been in top 5 list for 26 of last 57 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Delaware and Tennessee were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This column is an early warning of increasing cases beyond day to day noise.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0203 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0268. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 19 Oct 2020, 09:52

volvolugnut wrote: ↑18 Oct 2020, 15:37 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 18, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.429) with 1335 cases, Louisiana (0.161) with 175,781 cases, Minnesota (0.143) with 122,812 cases, North Dakota (0.134) with 31,978 cases, and Tennessee (0.133) with 228,744 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Louisiana has been in top 5 list for 4 of last 8 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 53 of last 74 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 73 of last 109 days. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 9 of last 24 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. US Virgin Islands were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Guam, Louisiana, and Navajo Nation were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0167 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.0203. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 20 Oct 2020, 08:21

volvolugnut wrote: ↑19 Oct 2020, 09:52 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 19, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Tennessee (0.157) with 232,061 cases, Minnesota (0.133) with 124,439 cases, Kansas (0.129) with 74,315 cases, Wyoming (0.122) with 9311 cases, and North Dakota (0.117) with 32,637 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 10 of last 25 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 54 of last 75 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 20 of last 35 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 74 of last 110 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Connecticut, Kansas, and US Military were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Michigan and Wisconsin were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0212 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0167. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 21 Oct 2020, 17:51

volvolugnut wrote: ↑20 Oct 2020, 08:21 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 19, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: North Dakota (0.176) with 33,666 cases, Wisconsin (0.130) with 178,482 cases, Oklahoma (0.101) with 109,548 cases, Arkansas (0.097) with 100,441 cases, and Guam (0.097) with 3886 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 75 of last 111 days. Wisconsin has been in top 5 list for 22 of last 46 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 30 of last 63 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Rhode Island and Federal Prisons were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Wisconsin was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0228 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0212. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 22 Oct 2020, 12:58

volvolugnut wrote: ↑21 Oct 2020, 17:51 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 21, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Arkansas (0.137) with 101,596 cases, Wyoming (0.128) with 9848 cases, Wisconsin (0.112) with 182,687 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.111) with 1337 cases, and New Hampshire (0.108) with 9917 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 31 of last 64 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 21 of last 37 days. Wisconsin has been in top 5 list for 23 of last 47 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 26 of last 52 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Rhode Island and US Military were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Kansas, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Veterans Affairs were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0232 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0228. This is not population or case number weighted.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 23 Oct 2020, 10:30

volvolugnut wrote: ↑22 Oct 2020, 12:58 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 22, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.462) with 1343 cases, North Dakota (0.148) with 35,052 cases, Arkansas (0.141) with 102,798 cases, Minnesota (0.141) with 128,152 cases, and Louisiana (0.122) with 178,171 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 4 of last 7 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 76 of last 113 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 32 of last 65 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 55 of last 78 days. Louisiana has been in top 5 list for 5 of last 12 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. US Virgin Islands was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Mississippi, North Carolina, and Rhode Island were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0270 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0232. This is not population or case number weighted. The number of new cases was 74,301 yesterday. This is the highest number since July 24, when the total was 78,009. The US average growth rate for yesterday was .0270. This is the highest since July 7, when the growth rate was 0.0276.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 23 Oct 2020, 12:57

volvolugnut wrote: ↑23 Aug 2020, 14:42
[More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

I have attached a graph for the US average growth rate for the period of March 3 to October 22, 2020. After very high growth rates early in March, rates declined gradually to a low rate. Then, from late June, growth rates doubled by the middle of July. Then until early September, the growth rate declined to the lowest levels we have seen. Since that time, US average rates have climbed again.

Since this is an average for all of the US, some states are still much higher than the average. The worst states have growth rates about 5 times the US average, while the best performing states have growth rates about one fifth of the US average. You can easily see the weekly cycles in the last couple of months. Sunday new cases are usually lower and then new cases climb during the week to typically peak on Friday.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 24 Oct 2020, 08:11

volvolugnut wrote: ↑23 Oct 2020, 10:30 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 23, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Tennessee (0.161) with 241,513 cases, US Virgin Islands (0.158) with 1346 cases, Arkansas (0.153) with 104,135 cases, Wyoming (0.150) with 10,545 cases, and Minnesota (0.145) with 129,863 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 11 of last 29 days. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 5 of last 8 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 33 of last 66 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 22 of last 39 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 56 of last 79 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). District of Columbia, Georgia, Vermont, US Military, and Navajho Nation were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0292 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0270. This is not population or case number weighted. The number of new cases yesterday was 81,210. This is the highest ever recorded. The US average growth rate for yesterday was .0292. The last time the growth rate was this high was on July 31 at 0.0323.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 25 Oct 2020, 09:01

volvolugnut wrote: ↑24 Oct 2020, 08:11 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

The mornings are cooler and I may post this information in the morning now (mostly). I try to do outdoor work in the afternoon.

State growth rates for October 24, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.176) with 132,122 cases, North Dakota (0.147) with 36,874 cases, New Hampshire (0.141) with 10,238 cases, Arkansas (0.129) with 105,318 cases, and Oklahoma (0.121) with 115,685 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Many states have now paused or reversed opening actions. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 57 of last 80 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 77 of last 115 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 27 of last 55 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 34 of last 67 days.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Kansas was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Alabama and District of Columbia were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight).

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.0282 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.0292. This is not population or case number weighted. The number of new cases yesterday was 79,449. This is the second highest ever recorded.

volvolugnut

Post by **volvolugnut** » 25 Oct 2020, 15:13

volvolugnut wrote: ↑25 Oct 2020, 09:01 More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for October 24, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Minnesota (0.176) with 132,122 cases, North Dakota (0.147) with 36,874 cases, New Hampshire (0.141) with 10,238 cases, Arkansas (0.129) with 105,318 cases, and Oklahoma (0.121) with 115,685 cases.

How do the states rank for Covid-19 in other ways of measurement? Let's take a look.

Top 5 states by total number of cases: Texas, California, Florida, New York, and Illinois.

Top 5 states by new cases: Illinois,Texas, Florida, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

Top 5 states by total number of deaths: New York, Texas, California, Florida, and New Jersey.

Top 5 states by new deaths: Florida,Texas, Illinois, Georgia, and Virginia.

Top 5 states by total number of active cases: Oregon, Puerto Rico, California, Florida, and Arizona.

Top 5 states by total number of cases per million population: North Dakota, South Dakota, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Alabama.

Top 5 states by total number of deaths per million population: New Jersey, New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Louisiana.

By this ranking (on October 24) the Covid-19 misery index rank is: Florida listed 5 times, Texas 4 times, California 3 times, Illinois 3 times, New York 3 times, and North Dakota, New Jersey, and Louisiana were all listed twice.

volvolugnut

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