Coronavirus Thread

[volvolugnut]

I have created a new spreadsheet looking at the possible immunity of each state from vaccination, previous cases and current cases of COVID-19. The total of these percentages should give a good indication of the relative safety of each state. Information is gathered from Worldometer and New York Times published information. Any errors and misrepresentation are my own. Results will change daily, but I will try to report shortly after each weekend.

State Immunity results for week ending March 13, 2021.
The top 5 states are South Dakota, North Dakota, Rhode Island, New Mexico, and Alaska. The bottom 5 states are Puerto Rico, District of Columbia, Oregon, Georgia, and Washington.

The top five states have average positive test cases plus vaccination of 3.3 %. The bottom five states have average positive test cases plus vaccination of 23.2 %. The average, unweighted for all states recovered cases plus vaccination is 30.2 %.

I have added a graph showing the progress of the top 5 states, bottom 5 states and US average percent vaccinated and recovered
from the Coronavirus. The top and bottom 5 states change from week to week. Labels for the US average and top 5 states were corrected on March 17, 2021.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 15, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Wyoming (0.337) with 55,327 cases, Montana (0.166) with 101,933 cases, Guam (0.156) with 7773 cases, Minnesota (0.097) with 498,218 cases, and New Hampshire (0.090) with 78,813 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 78 of last 177 days. Montana has been in top 5 list for 22 of last 76 days. Guam has been in top 5 list for 23 of last 74 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 166 of last 222 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 119 of last 167 days.

Hawaii did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Connecticut, Wyoming, and US Military were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Washington was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). Connecticut, Wyoming, and US Military did not report the previous two days. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00612 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00499. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 26 of the 30 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 13% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 16, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Montana (0.395) with 102,344 cases, North Dakota (0.241) with 101,150 cases, Louisiana (0.138) with 438,557 cases, Arkansas (0.137) with 327,456 cases, and New Hampshire (0.125) with 79,070 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. Montana has been in top 5 list for 23 of last 77 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 163 of last 257 days. Louisiana has been in top 5 list for 6 of last 24 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 100 of last 208 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 120 of last 168 days.

Hawaii did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Missouri and Montana were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Louisiana, North Dakota, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and Veterans Affairs were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). Missouri did not report the previous two days. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00723 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00612. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 27 of the 31 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 13% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 17, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.348) with 2798 cases, Wyoming (0.227) with 55,449 cases, North Dakota (0.204) with 101,284 cases, Montana (0.159) with 102,484 cases, and Tennessee (0.146) with 795,936 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. US Virgin Islands has been in top 5 list for 74 of last 153 days. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 79 of last 179 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 164 of last 258 days. Montana has been in top 5 list for 24 of last 78 days. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 9 of last 21 days.

Hawaii and South Carolina did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Guam, Rhode Island, Tennessee, US Virgin Islands, and US Military were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Georgia, Michigan, Missouri, North Dakota, Utah, Wyoming, and Veterans Affairs were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). Guam, US Virgin Islands, and US Military did not report the previous two days. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00857 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00723. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 27 of the 32 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 20% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 18, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Louisiana (0.193) with 439,543 cases, Minnesota (0.180) with 501,458 cases, North Dakota (0.167) with 101,403 cases, Guam (0.167) with 7780 cases, and New Hampshire (0.151) with 79,702 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. Louisiana has been in top 5 list for 7 of last 26 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 167 of last 225 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 165 of last 259 days. Guam has been in top 5 list for 24 of last 77 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 121 of last 170 days.

Hawaii, South Carolina, and US Virgin Islands did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Kansas was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Colorado, Guam, Louisiana, Missouri, Nebraska, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Dakota, and Navajo Nation were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). Kansas did not report the previous several days. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00858 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00857. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 27 of the 33 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 20% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 19, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Wyoming (0.250) with 55,581 cases, Tennessee (0.163) with 798,621 cases, Minnesota (0.155) with 502,893 cases, Montana (0.153) with 102,768 cases, and South Dakota (0.146) with 115,518 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 80 of last 180 days. Tennessee has been in top 5 list for 10 of last 23 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 168 of last 226 days. Montana has been in top 5 list for 25 of last 80 days. South Dakota has been in top 5 list for 9 of last 36 days.

Hawaii, South Carolina, and US Virgin Islands did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Colorado was over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Puerto Rico, South Dakota, Tennessee, and US Military were over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). US Military did not report the previous day. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00906 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00858. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 27 of the 34 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 20% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 20, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Montana (0.192) with 102,966 cases, New Hampshire (0.136) with 80,316 cases, Minnesota (0.136) with 504,273 cases, and North Dakota (0.112) with 101,602 cases, and Arkansas (0.102) with 328,547 cases, . All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. Montana has been in top 5 list for 26 of last 81 days. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 122 of last 172 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 169 of last 227 days. North Dakota has been in top 5 list for 166 of last 261 days. Arkansas has been in top 5 list for 101 of last 212 days.

Hawaii, South Carolina, and US Virgin Islands did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Arizona was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00770 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00906. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 28 of the 35 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 20% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 21, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: New Hampshire (0.094) with 80,543 cases, Montana (0.093) with 103,060 cases, Minnesota (0.092) with 505,224 cases, Vermont (0.072) with 17,740 cases, and Massachusetts (0.069) with 614,668 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. New Hampshire has been in top 5 list for 123 of last 173 days. Montana has been in top 5 list for 27 of last 82 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 170 of last 228 days. Vermont has been in top 5 list for 2 of last 8 days. Massachusetts has been in top 5 list for 2 of last 8 days.

Hawaii, South Carolina, and US Virgin Islands did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. No areas were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). No areas was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00545 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00770. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 29 of the 36 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a doubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 20% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[volvolugnut]

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.

State growth rates for March 22, 2020. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate (the worst containment) are: Wyoming (0.343) with 55,730 cases, Guam (0.143) with 7784 cases, Louisiana (0.126) with 441,066 cases, Minnesota (0.113) with 506,376 cases, and Connecticut (0.102) with 299,667 cases. All states have reopened to various levels. Several states have now removed or reduced any restrictions on public activities. Wyoming has been in top 5 list for 81 of last 183 days. Guam has been in top 5 list for 25 of last 81 days. Louisiana has been in top 5 list for 8 of last 30 days. Minnesota has been in top 5 list for 171 of last 229 days.

Hawaii, South Carolina, and US Virgin Islands did not report active cases. Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible.

A column on the right shows the current growth rate divided by the 5 day moving average. Arkansas, Connecticut, Guam, Wyoming, and US Military were over 2.0 yesterday (red highlight). Louisiana was over 1.5 yesterday (yellow highlight). Arkansas, Connecticut, Guam, Louisiana, Wyoming, and US Military did not report the previous 2 days. This is an early warning of higher growth rate in states.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00634 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00545. This is not population or case number weighted. Since February 13, 2021, 30 of the 37 days had growth rates below 0.008. A growth rate of 0.008 implies a oubling of new cases in 86 days. The growth rates have not been this low for this many days since I began recording data.

Daily active case counts have a notable decline. The number of active cases have dropped more than 20% since the peak. This decrease in active case numbers has not been seen since I started recording information in February 2020. This is very encouraging.

volvolugnut

[matthew1]

Lugnut, thanks for your posts. You've more or less kept the same format for a year, which is quite a task. I'd have changed it up a half-dozen times, and in that, lost the continuity of these reports you've done. Hat's off to you!

I got my first vaccine shot yesterday. Pfizer. Arm's sore, but that's it. Next in 3 weeks.