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volvolugnut
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Re: Coronavirus Thread

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 06 Jul 2023, 08:27
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 6, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.112) with 25,293 cases, New York (0.088) with 7,038,204 cases, Delaware (0.061) with 334,237, Wisconsin (0.036) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.035) with 1,289,526 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 351 of the last 379 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 229 of the last 274 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 24 of the last 24 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 79 of the last 84 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00348 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00287. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 50 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 344 of last 521 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 070623 A.png
State Growth 070623 A.png (80.89 KiB) Viewed 341 times
State Growth 070623 B.png
State Growth 070623 B.png (75.32 KiB) Viewed 341 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 07 Jul 2023, 09:26

More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 7, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.112) with 25,293 cases, New York (0.088) with 7,038,553 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237, Puerto Rico (0.035) with 1,290,858 cases, and Wisconsin (0.035) with 2,035,746 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 352 of the last 380 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 230 of the last 275 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 25 of the last 25 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 80 of the last 85 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 5 of the last 5 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00294 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00348. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 55 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 345 of last 522 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 070723 A.png
State Growth 070723 A.png (78.79 KiB) Viewed 330 times
State Growth 070723 B.png
State Growth 070723 B.png (74.88 KiB) Viewed 330 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 08 Jul 2023, 07:34
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 8, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.112) with 25,293 cases, New York (0.086) with 7,038,553 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.034) with 1,291,906 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 353 of the last 381 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 231 of the last 276 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 26 of the last 26 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 6 of the last 6 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 81 of the last 86 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00213 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00294. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 56 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 346 of last 523 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 070823 A.png
State Growth 070823 A.png (79.2 KiB) Viewed 316 times
State Growth 070823 B.png
State Growth 070823 B.png (74.75 KiB) Viewed 316 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 09 Jul 2023, 08:35
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 9, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.112) with 25,293 cases, New York (0.083) with 7,039,159 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.033) with 1,292,291 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 354 of the last 382 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 232 of the last 277 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 27 of the last 27 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 7 of the last 7 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 82 of the last 87 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.000667 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00213. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 56 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 347 of last 524 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 070923 A.png
State Growth 070923 A.png (79.1 KiB) Viewed 307 times
State Growth 070923 B.png
State Growth 070923 B.png (74.63 KiB) Viewed 307 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 10 Jul 2023, 11:55
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 10, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.122) with 25,298 cases, New York (0.082) with 7,039,777 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.033) with 1,292,291 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 355 of the last 383 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 233 of the last 278 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 28 of the last 28 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 8 of the last 8 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 83 of the last 88 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00190 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.000667. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 52 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 348 of last 525 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 071023 A.png
State Growth 071023 A.png (79.07 KiB) Viewed 300 times
State Growth 071023 B.png
State Growth 071023 B.png (75.71 KiB) Viewed 300 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 11 Jul 2023, 08:40
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 11, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.122) with 25,298 cases, New York (0.082) with 7,040,062 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237 cases, Wisconsin (0.040) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.034) with 1,294,417 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 356 of the last 384 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 234 of the last 279 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 29 of the last 29 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 9 of the last 9 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 84 of the last 89 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00319 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00190. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 54 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 349 of last 526 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 071123 A.png
State Growth 071123 A.png (79.33 KiB) Viewed 284 times
State Growth 071123 B.png
State Growth 071123 B.png (74.94 KiB) Viewed 284 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Posts: 6234
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Location: Oklahoma USA
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 12 Jul 2023, 11:40
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 12, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.122) with 25,298 cases, New York (0.085) with 7,040,515 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237 cases, Wisconsin (0.044) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.035) with 1,295,670 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 357 of the last 385 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 235 of the last 280 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 30 of the last 30 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 10 of the last 10 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 85 of the last 90 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00426 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00319. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 52 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 349 of last 526 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 071223 A.png
State Growth 071223 A.png (79.16 KiB) Viewed 272 times
State Growth 071223 B.png
State Growth 071223 B.png (74.95 KiB) Viewed 272 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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Posts: 6234
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Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 13 Jul 2023, 17:57
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 13, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.122) with 25,298 cases, New York (0.086) with 7,040,929 cases, Delaware (0.047) with 334,237 cases, Wisconsin (0.045) with 2,035,746 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.034) with 1,296,790 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 358 of the last 386 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 236 of the last 281 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 31 of the last 31 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 11 of the last 11 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 86 of the last 91 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00351 for yesterday, up from previous day of 0.00426. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 52 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 349 of last 526 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


[/quote]
volvolugnut
Attachments
State Growth 071323 A.png
State Growth 071323 A.png (79.16 KiB) Viewed 265 times
State Growth 071323 B.png
State Growth 071323 B.png (75.61 KiB) Viewed 265 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

User avatar
volvolugnut
Posts: 6234
Joined: 19 January 2014
Year and Model: 2001 V70
Location: Oklahoma USA
Has thanked: 927 times
Been thanked: 1001 times

Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 14 Jul 2023, 12:50
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.

These tables show all available US states and territories and the COVID-19 data for the last 5 days. I have sorted the states alphabetically and added growth rates for last several days for all states with ranking of each day. Of course, this information changes daily. I have presented the table in two parts because of the screen shot, but it is actually one table in Excel.

Again, results change daily.
The CDC has announced the end of the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency and more states have ended Covid-19 reporting. Since May 14, 2023, 33 states and territories have not reported results. However, I still have been receiving reports from other states through Worldometer. I will be continuing daily reports as long as the information is relevant.

State growth rates for July 14, 2023. All information is based on reported information and actual results may be different.

For your information, the top 5 states or territories yesterday in growth rate 30 day average (the worst containment) are: US Virgin Islands (0.122) with 25,298 cases, New York (0.085) with 7,041,429 cases, Wisconsin (0.047) with 2,035,746 cases, Delaware (0.045) with 334,373 cases, and Puerto Rico (0.033) with 1,297,896 cases. US Virgin Islands has been in the top 5 states for 359 of the last 387 days. New York has been in the top 5 states for 237 of the last 282 days. Wisconsin has been in the top 5 states for 12 of the last 12 days. Delaware has been in the top 5 states for 32 of the last 32 days. Puerto Rico has been in the top 5 states for 87 of the last 92 days.

Several states have stopped posting new case and new death numbers. I will back calculate where possible. These Districts and states have not reported in the last 30 days or more: Alabama, Arkansas, California, District Of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, Veteran Affairs, US Military, Navajo Nation, and Federal Prisons.

My calculated growth rate for USA is 0.00323 for yesterday, down from previous day of 0.00351. This is not population or case number weighted. Yesterday, 53 states and territories did not report new cases.

Daily active case counts have been falling the last several weeks. There have been 351 of last 529 days with decreasing active case numbers. In the last weeks, the number of reported active cases has dropped below 1,000,000 for the first time since July 2021.

There have now been 107 million total cases of Covid-19 in the US. This is 32% of the total US population. Reinfections and under reporting will distort the total number of cases.

With new home tests widely available, new case counts are likely under counting the true number of active cases.


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volvolugnut
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Post by volvolugnut »

volvolugnut wrote: 28 May 2023, 08:18
volvolugnut wrote: 15 Apr 2023, 09:12
More statistics on US states and COVID-19 growth rates. My raw information is from Worldometer. Any errors or misrepresentations are my own.


To give some context to these changes, I have calculated the average growth rate for each week back to April. The growth rate is calculated as the number of new cases each day divided by the number of active cases for the previous day. There is a typical weekly pattern of rising cases each week and falling case numbers on the weekends. I have calculated the 7 day average of the growth rate for Saturday to Friday of each week.

Using the 7 day growth rate, a calculation can be made of the number of days for the new cases to double. This calculation uses (1+Growth Rate) to the exponential of 1/X and solved for when this equation equals 2 (doubling of new cases). Variable X is the number of days to double the new cases count. I have made this calculation using 14 day and 21 day growth rate averages as well.

A graph using the average for 7, 14, and 21 days and showing the days to double new case counts for April to middle of November is below. Another graph shows the 7 day average new virus cases counts for the same period.

Inspection of the graphs show that when the line for days to double becomes flat, there may soon be a decline or increase to the count of new cases. This has happened three times since April. When the slope of the line for doubling is steep, either going up or down, there is unlikely to be a change soon in the growth or decline in new cases.

The current lines for case doubling now shows some indication of going flat soon. I expect we will see the number of new virus cases continue to increase, but we may have a change of direction starting. Perhaps the changing recommendations for controlling the virus are beginning to have an impact.

There was an error in my original logic posted on November 14. During the upward slope periods of the Days to Double graph, the actual number of daily cases are declining. I reconsidered how to resolve this contradiction in logic.

I have added a new graph with a calculation of the slope of the new case numbers (current case count minus past case count divided by the number of days). The slope of a curve is the rate of change of the plotted line. If we were plotting velocity, the slope would be the acceleration. The slope is a better representation of the virus growth because the slope goes negative when the trend in cases starts going down.

volvolugnut
I have updated the graphs for the last four weeks (May 27 to July 8, 2023).

The New Case Slope graph was up sightly for the past several weeks and continued in negative range. The Days to Double for the 14 day, and 21 day Days to Double were up for the past several weeks. New Case Count average decreased for the past several weeks. Growth Rate Average increased for several weeks, but decreased in the last couple weeks.

There appears to be a change in the past week. There may be a new wave of cases starting. We can only watch and see what develops.

These Districts and states have not reported in the last thirty days or more. With fewer states reporting, overall trends may not reflect the true conditions.
Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
California
Connecticut
District Of Columbia
Florida
Guam
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Maryland
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
New Hampshire
New Mexico
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Virginia
West Virginia
Veteran Affairs
US Military
Navajo Nation
Federal Prisons

Stay safe out there. Don't get careless and keep up your defenses. Actions to avoid Covid-19 also reduces other viral diseases.

volvolugnut
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Days to Double 070923.png
Days to Double 070923.png (54.69 KiB) Viewed 248 times
New Case Count Average 070923.png
New Case Count Average 070923.png (31.12 KiB) Viewed 248 times
The Fleet:
Volvo: 2001 V70 T5, 1986 244DL, 1983 245DL, 1975 245DL, 1959 PV544, multiple Volvo parts cars.
Mercedes: 2001 E320, 1973 280, 1974 280C, 1989 300E, 1988 300TE, 1979 300TD, parts cars.
2009 Smart Passion
Ford: 1977 F350, 1964 F150 (2), 1938 Tudor Sedan
Farmall tractors: 1956 400 Diesel, 1946 A
And others.

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